Selected Publications

The Panel's first evidence-based assessment, produced by 40 experts from 37 countries under its mandate to assess the opportunities, risks, and impacts of AI. Supported drafting and editing through UN University.

A modular model treaty for international AI governance, soft-launched at the first UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance in Geneva — and the inspiration for the build-your-own-treaty toolkit.

Recommendations for the International Scientific Panel on AI and the Global Dialogue on AI Governance, informing the UN General Assembly negotiations that created both.

The WEF's best-known report, launched ahead of Davos. Co-authored the report and helped run and design the underlying Global Risks Perception Survey of 1,400+ experts — a window into the evolution of elite risk perception since 2006.

Compared how nine European countries and Swiss Re assess five identical cross-border hazards: likelihood estimates diverged by factors up to 10,000. The discussion section sets out what coherent national risk assessment would require — discussed in Boyd & Wilson (2023) in Risk Analysis.

The first UN report dedicated to existential risk. Contributed on the relevance of outlier events and the challenge of integrating global catastrophic risks into disaster-risk-management structures, ahead of the Sendai Framework midterm review.

The politics of future internet architectures. Its fragmentation framework was presented to the UN IGF's Policy Network on Internet Fragmentation and the Mercator Institute for China Studies, and discussed in a swissinfo interview.

How Hague-era neutrality law applies in cyberspace — later argued at the ICRC's 23rd Bruges Colloquium and distilled in CSS Policy Perspectives.

A survey of the government foresight toolbox — used in Interpol's internal training library, mirrored by the Swiss Federal Office for Civil Protection, recommended by PreventionWeb, and presented at the OECD High Level Risk Forum.

Lead-authored chronology of Swiss and international crisis management in the pandemic's first phase, with a co-authored companion on the lessons for Swiss crisis organization — the pandemic as a live stress test of national risk governance.

Proposed a scientific UN panel to assess the rise of AI, launched in Geneva in autumn 2019 — six years before the UN created one. Ideas can become institutions.

Reviewed every Swiss digital-foreign-policy document and diagnosed the gap between Geneva's digital-governance ambitions and the political support behind them — distilled in a swissinfo op-ed.